The microblog: 2020.11.09 16:24:38

2020.11.09 16:24:38 (1325821605826633728) from Daniel J. Bernstein:

I must admit to being even more puzzled by the confident early calls (for R) of the Senate race in Maine than the confident early calls (for D) of the presidential race in Arizona. Are there any scientific studies of the error rates of various mechanisms used to make these calls?